17 September 2026FPL解説

GW4 Recap — Brighton's Triple Threat, João Pedro's Captain Shift, Bogle's Back-to-back

GW4's top scorer was Brighton's summer signing Groß (17pt), joined by De Cuyper and Dunk in a Brighton stack week. The 74.8%-owned João Pedro (CHE) delivered 12pt, hinting at a captain-choice pivot from Haaland. Bogle (LEE) followed GW3's 14pt with 15pt in GW4 — the '£4.5m DEF differential' template is cemented.

📈 GW4 in Review

GW4 was defined by 'Brighton's triple threat' and a shift in premium FWD leadership. Brighton's summer signing Groß topped the week with 17pt (19.5% owned), joined by De Cuyper (11pt) and Dunk (12pt) — Brighton's DEF/MID stack erupted together. Meanwhile the 74.8%-owned João Pedro (CHE) finally delivered 12pt, hinting at a captain-choice pivot away from Haaland dependency. £4.5m DEF Bogle (LEE) posted back-to-back 14→15pt, cementing the 'cheap DEF differential' theme that started with Mitchell (CRY) in GW3.

Groß (BHA, MID) — Actual 17 pt (predicted 4.5 · Δ+12.5) 🔥 major overperformance
Brighton's summer MID signing became GW4's top scorer: 1G + 2A + 3 bonus for 17pt. At £5.7m mid-range, the 19.5% owners gained big rank. Form 8.2 signals ongoing momentum — a central figure in Brighton's attack going forward.
João Pedro (CHE, FWD) — Actual 12 pt (predicted 6.5 · Δ+5.5) 🔥 major overperformance
The 74.8%-owned premium FWD finally delivered: 1G + assist + 2 bonus for 12pt. As Haaland dropped out of the top 20 (from 71.2% GW3), João Pedro symbolizes a captain-choice shift. At £7.8m he's the 'cheap premium' with steady captain appeal — a serious target for non-owners.
Bogle (LEE, DEF) — Actual 15 pt (predicted 3.0 · Δ+12.0) 🔥 major overperformance
£4.5m Leeds DEF followed his GW3 14pt with 15pt in GW4 — 29pt over two weeks. Combined with Mitchell (CRY) in GW3, the '£4.5m DEF differential' template is now proven. Only 4.0% owned, back-to-back massive wins for holders. Form 9.2 = elite. This price bracket keeps rewarding differentials.
Raya (ARS, GKP) — Actual 14 pt (predicted 4.0 · Δ+10.0) 🔥 major overperformance
Arsenal's Raya led all GKs with 14pt: CS + save points + bonus. At 40.8% ownership, the mainstream GK delivered. Arsenal's defensive strength remains — £6.0m Raya is high-value relative to xPts. GK slot rewarded the safe pick this week; differential-GK strategies struggled.
De Cuyper (BHA, DEF) — Actual 11 pt (predicted 4.5 · Δ+6.5) 🔥 major overperformance
GW1's 17pt top-scorer, then a 0pt/3pt collapse in GW2-3, now bounces back with 11pt in GW4: CS + assist + 2 bonus. Ownership rose to 24.1% since GW1. In Brighton's attack-heavy week (with Groß and Dunk), the double-up stacking template is back in play — De Cuyper as its core.

Looking Ahead

Next-GW top xPts are live on Captain Picks. Adjust your squad in the Team Builder.

GW4 Recap — Brighton's Triple Threat, João Pedro's Captain Shift, Bogle's Back-to-back

📈 GW4 in Review

Groß (BHA, MID) — Actual 17 pt (predicted 4.5 · Δ+12.5) 🔥 major overperformance
Brighton's summer MID signing became GW4's top scorer: 1G + 2A + 3 bonus for 17pt. At £5.7m mid-range, the 19.5% owners gained big rank. Form 8.2 signals ongoing momentum — a central figure in Brighton's attack going forward.

João Pedro (CHE, FWD) — Actual 12 pt (predicted 6.5 · Δ+5.5) 🔥 major overperformance
The 74.8%-owned premium FWD finally delivered: 1G + assist + 2 bonus for 12pt. As Haaland dropped out of the top 20 (from 71.2% GW3), João Pedro symbolizes a captain-choice shift. At £7.8m he's the 'cheap premium' with steady captain appeal — a serious target for non-owners.

Bogle (LEE, DEF) — Actual 15 pt (predicted 3.0 · Δ+12.0) 🔥 major overperformance
£4.5m Leeds DEF followed his GW3 14pt with 15pt in GW4 — 29pt over two weeks. Combined with Mitchell (CRY) in GW3, the '£4.5m DEF differential' template is now proven. Only 4.0% owned, back-to-back massive wins for holders. Form 9.2 = elite. This price bracket keeps rewarding differentials.

Raya (ARS, GKP) — Actual 14 pt (predicted 4.0 · Δ+10.0) 🔥 major overperformance
Arsenal's Raya led all GKs with 14pt: CS + save points + bonus. At 40.8% ownership, the mainstream GK delivered. Arsenal's defensive strength remains — £6.0m Raya is high-value relative to xPts. GK slot rewarded the safe pick this week; differential-GK strategies struggled.

De Cuyper (BHA, DEF) — Actual 11 pt (predicted 4.5 · Δ+6.5) 🔥 major overperformance
GW1's 17pt top-scorer, then a 0pt/3pt collapse in GW2-3, now bounces back with 11pt in GW4: CS + assist + 2 bonus. Ownership rose to 24.1% since GW1. In Brighton's attack-heavy week (with Groß and Dunk), the double-up stacking template is back in play — De Cuyper as its core.